The 83rd Annual Academy Awards : Winners Prediction ~ AdhariView

Dan, setelah menonton 9 dari 10 film yang dinominasikan untuk kategori Best Picture, serta 2 dari 3 film yang dinominasikan untuk kategori Best Animated Features (Minus Winter's Bone dan The Illusionist) akhirnya saya ~~memberanikan~~ coba-coba buat prediksi untuk Oscar yang rencananya akan dibacakan senin pagi besok!

Prediksi kali ini sudah pasti dibuat berdasarkan pengamatan saya terhadap film itu sendiri dan pastinya melihat gelagat Oscar atau lebih tepatnya "keinginan" para anggota AMPAS dari rangkaian Oscar di tahun-tahun sebelumnya, dan bisa saja ada akan ada beberapa Twist yang mengisi daftar pemenang Oscar untuk tahun ini. :D. Ya, dari awal peluncuran nominasi oscar tahun ini, seperti juga pada tahun-tahun sebelumnya (bedanya tahun-tahun sebelumnya tidak saya publish di blog saya yang umurnya masih seumuran ama jagung ini) memang menebak-nebak siapa yang menyabet piala oscar, dan secara resminya, inilah dia prediksi oscar 2011 (seenak jidat saya, pastinya) !!!!

And The Oscar Goes Too....

Actor in a Leading Role

Javier Bardem in “Biutiful”
Jeff Bridges in “True Grit”
Jesse Eisenberg in “The Social Network”
Colin Firth in “The King's Speech”
James Franco in “127 Hours”
And The Oscar Goes Too.... Colin Firth in "The King's Speech"

Melihat scene opening di The King's Speech, langsung membuat saya
berdecak kagum dengan aktingnya yang g-g-g-g-agap itu! Ya, Colin Firth
sudah dijagokan dimana-mana dan sudah menang juga dimana-mana.
Melihat daftar nominasi, nama Colin Firth juga sudah menjadi kandidat
yang kuat jika dibandingkan dengan kandidat lainnya.

Actor in a Supporting Role

Christian Bale in “The Fighter”
John Hawkes in “Winter's Bone”
Jeremy Renner in “The Town”
Mark Ruffalo in “The Kids Are All Right”
Geoffrey Rush in “The King's Speech”
And The Oscar Goes Too.... Christian Bale in "The Fighter"
Twist Ending.... Geoffrey Rush in "The King's Speech"

Christian Bale memang sudah membuktikannya lewat turunnya berat
badannya dalam The Fighter dan juga aktingnya yang memang bagus, belum
lagi dia sudah mengantongi beberapa award untuk peran ini di beberapa
award sebelum oscar ini. Twist ending bisa saja terjadi dan oscar jatuh ke
tangan Geoffrey Rush karena banyak pihak yang telah jatuh hati
(baca: menjagokan) film ini yang bisa saja mempengaruhi banyak orang.

Actress in a Leading Role

Annette Bening in “The Kids Are All Right”
Nicole Kidman in “Rabbit Hole”
Jennifer Lawrence in “Winter's Bone”
Natalie Portman in “Black Swan”
Michelle Williams in “Blue Valentine”
And The Oscar Goes Too.... Natalie Portman in "Black Swan"
Twist Ending.... Annete Bening in "The Kids Are All Right"

Melihat perjuangan yang dilakukan Natalie Portman dan aktingnya
yang benar-benar memikat hati rasanya tak rela jika Oscar tahun ini
jatuh ke kandidat lain, tapi melihat "keinginan" Oscar, bisa saja Annete
Bening menjadi pemenang. Tapi, saya tetap menjagokan Natalie Portman!
You Go Girl!

Actress in a Supporting Role

Amy Adams in “The Fighter”
Helena Bonham Carter in “The King's Speech”
Melissa Leo in “The Fighter”
Hailee Steinfeld in “True Grit”
Jacki Weaver in “Animal Kingdom”
And The Oscar Goes Too.... Helena Bonham Carter in "The King's Speech"
Twist Ending.... Semua kandidat

Benar-benar persaingan yang ketat! Salah satu nominasi paling berat
untuk tahun ini, tapi, melihat kharisma sang Raja, Helena Bonham Carter
mengisi prediksi kali ini, walaupun siapa saja bisa menang terutama
Melissa Leo dari The Fighter yang sebelumnya telah menyabet beberapa
award sebelum Oscar.

Animated Feature Film

“How to Train Your Dragon” Chris Sanders and Dean DeBlois
“The Illusionist” Sylvain Chomet
“Toy Story 3” Lee Unkrich
And The Oscar Goes Too.... "Toy Story 3"

Tak usah diragukan lagi, Toy Story 3 mencuri hati, dan akan sangat aneh
jika Toy Story 3 tidak menang, walaupun bisa saja HTTYD menang.

Art Direction

“Alice in Wonderland”
Production Design: Robert Stromberg; Set Decoration: Karen O'Hara
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1”
Production Design: Stuart Craig; Set Decoration: Stephenie McMillan
“Inception”
Production Design: Guy Hendrix Dyas; Set Decoration: Larry Dias and Doug Mowat
“The King's Speech”
Production Design: Eve Stewart; Set Decoration: Judy Farr
“True Grit”
Production Design: Jess Gonchor; Set Decoration: Nancy Haigh
And The Oscar Goes Too.... "Inception"
Twist Ending.... "The King's Speech"/"Alice in Wonderland"

Damn, I Love the Architecture stuff in Inception! tapi tetep aja kalo ada
The King's Speech, bisa mencuri diam-diam nominasi ini!

Cinematography

“Black Swan” Matthew Libatique
“Inception” Wally Pfister
“The King's Speech” Danny Cohen
“The Social Network” Jeff Cronenweth
“True Grit” Roger Deakins
And The Oscar Goes Too.... "True Grit" Roger Deakins

Ya, 9 nominasi sebelumnya dan belum pernah memenangkannya.
Roger Deakins layak untuk memenangkan nominasi ini, walaupun bisa
saja Inception, dan Black Swan mencurinya.

Costume Design

“Alice in Wonderland” Colleen Atwood
“I Am Love” Antonella Cannarozzi
“The King's Speech” Jenny Beavan
“The Tempest” Sandy Powell
“True Grit” Mary Zophres
And The Oscar Goes Too.... "Alice in Wonderland" Colleen Atwood

Full Colour! yah, semoga saja Alice in Wonderland memenangkan
nominasi yang satu ini.

Directing

“Black Swan” Darren Aronofsky
“The Fighter” David O. Russell
“The King's Speech” Tom Hooper
“The Social Network” David Fincher
“True Grit” Joel Coen and Ethan Coen
And The Oscar Goes Too.... "Inception" Christopher Nolan
Twist Ending.... "The Social Network"/"The King's Speech"

Oops. Nolan nggak ada ya? Masih mengharapkan Nolan untuk
masuk nominasi ini sih. Karena Nolan tidak ada, Sepertinya David
Fincher dan Tom Hooper's lah yang akan menyabet Oscar untuk
nominasi ini. Karena Fincher sudah maksimal sekali di TSN!

Documentary (Feature)

“Exit through the Gift Shop” Banksy and Jaimie D'Cruz
“Gasland” Josh Fox and Trish Adlesic
“Inside Job” Charles Ferguson and Audrey Marrs
“Restrepo” Tim Hetherington and Sebastian Junger
“Waste Land” Lucy Walker and Angus Aynsley
And The Oscar Goes Too.... Empty

Belom ada yang ditonton! :p

Documentary (Short Subject)

“Killing in the Name” Jed Rothstein
“Poster Girl” Sara Nesson and Mitchell W. Block
“Strangers No More” Karen Goodman and Kirk Simon
“Sun Come Up” Jennifer Redfearn and Tim Metzger
“The Warriors of Qiugang” Ruby Yang and Thomas Lennon
And The Oscar Goes Too.... Empty

Film Editing

“Black Swan” Andrew Weisblum
“The Fighter” Pamela Martin
“The King's Speech” Tariq Anwar
“127 Hours” Jon Harris
“The Social Network” Angus Wall and Kirk Baxter
And The Oscar Goes Too.... "The Social Network" Angus Wall and Kirk Baxter

Again, Tidak ada Inception, padahal Inception sudah menunjukkan
editing terbaiknya. Well, TSN adalah kandidat terkuat disini.

Foreign Language Film

“Biutiful” Mexico
“Dogtooth” Greece
“In a Better World” Denmark
“Incendies” Canada
“Outside the Law (Hors-la-loi)” Algeria
And The Oscar Goes Too.... "In a Better World" Denmark

Makeup

“Barney's Version” Adrien Morot
“The Way Back” Edouard F. Henriques, Gregory Funk and Yolanda Toussieng
“The Wolfman” Rick Baker and Dave Elsey
And The Oscar Goes Too.... "The Wolfman" Rick Baker and Dave Elsey

Music (Original Score)

“How to Train Your Dragon” John Powell
“Inception” Hans Zimmer
“The King's Speech” Alexandre Desplat
“127 Hours” A.R. Rahman
“The Social Network” Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross
And The Oscar Goes Too.... "The King's Speech" Alexandre Desplat

Music (Original Song)

“Coming Home” from “Country Strong” Music and Lyric by Tom Douglas, Troy Verges and Hillary Lindsey
“I See the Light” from “Tangled” Music by Alan Menken Lyric by Glenn Slater
“If I Rise” from “127 Hours” Music by A.R. Rahman Lyric by Dido and Rollo Armstrong
“We Belong Together” from “Toy Story 3" Music and Lyric by Randy Newman
And The Oscar Goes Too.... "We Belong Together" from "Toy Story 3"

Best Picture

“Black Swan” Mike Medavoy, Brian Oliver and Scott Franklin, Producers
“The Fighter” David Hoberman, Todd Lieberman and Mark Wahlberg, Producers
“Inception” Emma Thomas and Christopher Nolan, Producers
“The Kids Are All Right” Gary Gilbert, Jeffrey Levy-Hinte and Celine Rattray, Producers
“The King's Speech” Iain Canning, Emile Sherman and Gareth Unwin, Producers
“127 Hours” Christian Colson, Danny Boyle and John Smithson, Producers
“The Social Network” Scott Rudin, Dana Brunetti, Michael De Luca and Ceán Chaffin, Producers
“Toy Story 3” Darla K. Anderson, Producer
“True Grit” Scott Rudin, Ethan Coen and Joel Coen, Producers
“Winter's Bone" Anne Rosellini and Alix Madigan-Yorkin, Producers
And The Oscar Goes Too.... "The King's Speech"
Twist Ending.... "Inception"/"The Social Network"

Kandidat kuat untuk nominasi memang The King's Speech yang bisa
dibilang sebagai Oscar's sweetheart. Walaupun masih mengharap Inception
bisa memenangkan nominasi ini walaupun sedikit mustahil mengingat
sutradaranya saja tak masuk nominasi. Tapi karena sudah masuk nominasi
rasanya, masih mengharapkan Inception untuk menang kategori ini.

David Fincher juga memenuhi kriteria (baca: keinginan) anggota AMPAS
dan bisa saja menyabet nominasi ini.

Short Film (Animated)

“Day & Night” Teddy Newton
“The Gruffalo” Jakob Schuh and Max Lang
“Let's Pollute” Geefwee Boedoe
“The Lost Thing” Shaun Tan and Andrew Ruhemann
“Madagascar, carnet de voyage (Madagascar, a Journey Diary)” Bastien Dubois
And The Oscar Goes Too.... "Day & Night" Teddy Newton

Short Film (Live Action)

“The Confession” Tanel Toom
“The Crush” Michael Creagh
“God of Love” Luke Matheny
“Na Wewe” Ivan Goldschmidt
“Wish 143” Ian Barnes and Samantha Waite
And The Oscar Goes Too.... Empty

Sound Editing

“Inception” Richard King
“Toy Story 3” Tom Myers and Michael Silvers
“Tron: Legacy” Gwendolyn Yates Whittle and Addison Teague
“True Grit” Skip Lievsay and Craig Berkey
“Unstoppable” Mark P. Stoeckinger
And The Oscar Goes Too.... "Inception"

Sound Mixing

“Inception” Lora Hirschberg, Gary A. Rizzo and Ed Novick
“The King's Speech” Paul Hamblin, Martin Jensen and John Midgley
“Salt” Jeffrey J. Haboush, Greg P. Russell, Scott Millan and William Sarokin
“The Social Network” Ren Klyce, David Parker, Michael Semanick and Mark Weingarten
“True Grit” Skip Lievsay, Craig Berkey, Greg Orloff and Peter F. Kurland
And The Oscar Goes Too.... "Inception"

Visual Effects

“Alice in Wonderland” Ken Ralston, David Schaub, Carey Villegas and Sean Phillips
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1” Tim Burke, John Richardson, Christian Manz and Nicolas Aithadi
“Hereafter” Michael Owens, Bryan Grill, Stephan Trojansky and Joe Farrell
“Inception” Paul Franklin, Chris Corbould, Andrew Lockley and Peter Bebb
“Iron Man 2” Janek Sirrs, Ben Snow, Ged Wright and Daniel Sudick
And The Oscar Goes Too.... "Inception"

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)

“127 Hours” Screenplay by Danny Boyle & Simon Beaufoy
“The Social Network” Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin
“Toy Story 3” Screenplay by Michael Arndt; Story by John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton and Lee Unkrich
“True Grit” Written for the screen by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen
“Winter's Bone” Adapted for the screen by Debra Granik & Anne Rosellini
And The Oscar Goes Too.... "The Social Network" Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin

Writing (Original Screenplay)

“Another Year” Written by Mike Leigh
“The Fighter” Screenplay by Scott Silver and Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson;
Story by Keith Dorrington & Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson
“Inception” Written by Christopher Nolan
“The Kids Are All Right” Written by Lisa Cholodenko & Stuart Blumberg
“The King's Speech” Screenplay by David Seidler
And The Oscar Goes Too.... "The King's Speech" Screenplay by David Seidler
Twist Ending.... "Inception" Written by Christopher Nolan

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So, It's a Wrap! itulah daftar prediksi ~~ngasal~~ dari saya!

Kita tunggu daftar pemenangnya Senin (28/2) besok!

Sunday, February 27, 2011